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Posts Tagged: backtesting

Bullish Engulfing Candle Hit Rate: What the Statistics Actually Say

Posted 6:53 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

candlestick parabolic moving average graph

The bullish engulfing candle is probably the most widely taught reversal pattern in technical analysis. A small down candle is… Read more »

How to Forward Test a Trading Strategy Properly Before Going Live

Posted 2:38 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

Forex daily range

A finished backtest isn’t a green light to trade live — it’s a reason to forward test first. Here’s how to set one up correctly, how long to run it, and the checklist to clear before risking real money.

Curve Fitting in Trading Strategies: Why a Perfect Fit to the Past Means Nothing

Posted 3:18 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

man touching screen of market trading candles

Given enough flexibility, you can draw a curve through almost any set of points — including pure noise. Here’s what that has to do with a trading strategy that looks perfect in backtesting, and a simple visual check you can run yourself.

Overfitting in Trading Strategies: Why a Great Backtest Can Still Be a Trap

Posted 6:41 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

man teaching trading via screens

A backtest can look flawless and still be worthless. Here’s how overfitting happens, why it’s so easy to do by accident, and the specific tests that catch it before real money is on the line.

How to Backtest a Forex Robot: A Step-by-Step Guide to Avoiding Misleading Results

Posted 5:07 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

Backtesting can make almost any forex robot look profitable. Here’s how to test one properly — and the mistakes that quietly inflate results.

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