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Posts Categorized: Forex articles

Bullish Engulfing Candle Hit Rate: What the Statistics Actually Say

Posted 6:53 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

candlestick parabolic moving average graph

The bullish engulfing candle is probably the most widely taught reversal pattern in technical analysis. A small down candle is… Read more »

How to Forward Test a Trading Strategy Properly Before Going Live

Posted 2:38 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

Forex daily range

A finished backtest isn’t a green light to trade live — it’s a reason to forward test first. Here’s how to set one up correctly, how long to run it, and the checklist to clear before risking real money.

Curve Fitting in Trading Strategies: Why a Perfect Fit to the Past Means Nothing

Posted 3:18 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

man touching screen of market trading candles

Given enough flexibility, you can draw a curve through almost any set of points — including pure noise. Here’s what that has to do with a trading strategy that looks perfect in backtesting, and a simple visual check you can run yourself.

Overfitting in Trading Strategies: Why a Great Backtest Can Still Be a Trap

Posted 6:41 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

man teaching trading via screens

A backtest can look flawless and still be worthless. Here’s how overfitting happens, why it’s so easy to do by accident, and the specific tests that catch it before real money is on the line.

Why Forex Strategies Stop Working: Genuine Decay vs a Normal Losing Streak

Posted 6:35 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

losing trader

Every strategy eventually hits a rough patch, and it’s rarely obvious whether that’s genuine decay or a normal losing streak playing out. Here’s how to actually tell the difference before you abandon or keep trading a struggling system.

Forex Risk Reward Ratio and Win Rate: How the Two Actually Trade Off

Posted 2:56 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

businessman trading stock by futuristic screen interface

Every risk:reward ratio has a matching breakeven win rate hiding behind it. Here’s the maths that connects the two, a full reference table, and how to use it to judge whether a strategy’s numbers actually add up.

Expectancy in Forex Trading: The One Number That Actually Matters

Posted 5:02 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

candlestick chart pic

Win rate, profit factor and drawdown each tell you part of the story. Expectancy is the single figure that ties them together and answers the question that actually matters: what should you expect to make, or lose, per trade?

Good Drawdown Percentage in Forex Trading: What the Number Actually Means

Posted 6:31 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

trend indicator

Drawdown is the statistic that determines whether you can actually stay in a trade, a robot or a prop firm challenge. Here’s what counts as a good drawdown percentage, and the recovery maths that makes it matter so much.

Good Profit Factor in Forex Trading: What the Number Actually Means

Posted 4:30 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles.

forex graph

Profit factor is one of the most quoted statistics in forex trading, but a single figure can hide very different realities. Here’s what counts as a genuinely good profit factor, and why the highest ones deserve the most scrutiny.

Myfxbook Track Record Not Verified: What It Means and Why It Happens

Posted 6:10 pm by TSFX & filed under Blog, Forex articles, Scam warnings.

Trader at screens

Seeing “Not Verified” next to a Myfxbook link is unsettling, but it isn’t automatically proof of a scam. Here’s what the label actually means, why it happens, and how to tell a harmless gap from a genuine warning sign.

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